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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| KaguyaNg | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (287–263, n=550) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $44K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #924 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −18 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 427 at avg 49¢, ROI +28% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 21% of 86) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 48% of 121) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 72% of 166) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 91% of 54) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | KaguyaNg | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $41 | Yes $270K | — | — |