← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| KaguyaNg | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (287–264, n=551) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $43K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #924 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (147 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −18 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 427 at avg 49¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 21% of 86) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 48% of 121) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 72% of 166) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 91% of 54) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | KaguyaNg | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $42 | — | — | Yes $274K |