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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
KateBollinger00gringo00CORGIIbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)67% (1226–601, n=1827)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$1.8K$3.5M$4.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #463was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +22 pts n=30, ROI +1%
  • Esports +3 pts n=1625, ROI +2%
  • MMA +14 pts n=21, ROI +27%
none with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=54——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won55% of 1762 at avg 52¢, ROI +2%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 30% of 203)0%9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 44% of 593)0%56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 61% of 692)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 81% of 274)0%2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKateBollinger00gringo00CORGIIbeachboy4
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $24K—B8 $22K—
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
Legacy $626—TheMongolz $2.2K—