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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
KateBollingerRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)67% (1226–601, n=1827)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$1.8K$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #463PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)57% (89 of 157 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +22 pts n=30, ROI +1%
  • Esports +3 pts n=1625, ROI +2%
  • MMA +14 pts n=21, ROI +27%
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=54——
Settled positions, side won55% of 1762 at avg 52¢, ROI +2%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 30% of 203)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 44% of 593)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 61% of 692)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 81% of 274)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKateBollingerRN1CORGII
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $24K—B8 $20K