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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Kettle | 00gringo00 | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (119–160, n=279) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $143K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #987 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (7 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (29 of 46 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NFL −1 pts, n=60 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 33% of 339 at avg 31¢, ROI +9% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 61% (won 1% of 208) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 28% of 18) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 71% of 21) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 92) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Kettle | 00gringo00 | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $2.7K | Buccaneers $3.0K |