← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LaarsY | RN1 | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (2571–2478, n=5049) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$75K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #995 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (17 of 25 open) | 68% (19 of 28 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2091 at avg 61¢, ROI +34% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 95% of 140) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 99% of 518) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 99% of 664) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 100% of 769) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LaarsY | RN1 | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $4 | Over $2.4K | — | — |