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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LeonDksainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)57% (380–283, n=663)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$4.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +17 pts n=18, ROI +15%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=427———
Settled positions, side won57% of 560 at avg 59¢, ROI +1%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 12% of 17)0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 47% of 117)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢56% (won 59% of 311)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 70% of 115)0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLeonDksainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $465KBroncos $7.4K
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $44—Magic $24K—