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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lilybaeum | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (5630–4163, n=9793) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 17% (1 of 6 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (28 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 414) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1750) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1122) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2784) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite | Andre Souza $12 | — | — | Wilson Leite $12K |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $54 | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $417 | — | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K |