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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MaxVision00gringo00sainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (53–67, n=120)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)47% (13855–15340, n=29195)
Consensus PnL$12K$3.5M$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicMentions −23 pts, n=16———
Settled positions, side won44% of 136 at avg 41¢, ROI +8%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢46% (won 19% of 63)0%0%10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 44% of 18)0%50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 54% of 26)100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 90% of 29)0%0%32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.