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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| MinevaJ | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (541–358, n=899) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 47% (13855–15340, n=29195) |
| Consensus PnL | -$53K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #827 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 721 at avg 72¢, ROI +9% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 75% of 64) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 86% of 79) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 96% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 100% of 445) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MinevaJ | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $2.3K | — | — | No $7.7K |