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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| MinevaJ | beachboy4 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (539–342, n=881) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$41K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #827 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 61% (11 of 18 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 701 at avg 72¢, ROI +9% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 76% of 63) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 85% of 75) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 96% of 129) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 100% of 434) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MinevaJ | beachboy4 | RN1 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $2.3K | — | No $7.6K | — |