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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| MinevaJ | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (537–345, n=882) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | -$42K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #827 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (4 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (4 of 12 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 701 at avg 72¢, ROI +9% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 76% of 63) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 85% of 75) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 96% of 129) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 100% of 434) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MinevaJ | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $31K | Commanders $1.1M |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $2.3K | — | No $7.7K | — |