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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| MisTKy | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (283–82, n=365) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $321K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #538 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (25 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (79 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Economy −5 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 596 at avg 76¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 11% of 76) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 37% of 27) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 63% of 71) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 71% (won 95% of 422) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MisTKy | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | — | Yes $37K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.0K | — | No $35K |