← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Nathan8s | RN1 | CORGII | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 14% (3–19, n=22) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $44K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #963 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −15 pts, n=23 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 10% of 29 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 55% (won 0% of 16) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 45% (won 23% of 13) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Nathan8s | RN1 | CORGII | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter opposite sides · consensus Katie Boulter | Katie Boulter $32K | Viktorija Golubic $2.5K | — | — |