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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NatoAlfista | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (4078–4117, n=8195) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #994 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (15 of 27 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 2411 at avg 46¢, ROI +43% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 81% of 261) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 94% of 1149) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 97% of 989) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 83% of 12) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NatoAlfista | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $25 | Chiefs $88K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $167 | Magic $76K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $188 | Magic $51K | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic same side · consensus Celtics | Magic $141 | Magic $24K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $84 | Magic $13K | — |