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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NatoAlfista | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (4078–4117, n=8195) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #994 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 75% (71 of 95 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 2419 at avg 46¢, ROI +43% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 81% of 261) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 94% of 1153) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 97% of 993) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 83% of 12) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NatoAlfista | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $25 | — | Commanders $259K | — |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus Heroic | Heroic $246 | B8 $22K | — | — |