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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NiceDuckBro | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (175–91, n=266) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$11K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 89% (146 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −7 pts, n=19 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 342 at avg 66¢, ROI −1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 2% of 43) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 33% of 45) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 69% of 67) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 89% of 187) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NiceDuckBro | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $74 | — | — | No $25K |