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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NooseracRN100gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (5263–4808, n=10071)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus75% (42 of 56 open)71% (15 of 21 open)no open consensus position50% (9 of 18 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164———
Settled positions, side won54% of 10044 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1317)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3583)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3478)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1666)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooseracRN100gringo00primm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $2.4K——Broncos $1.1K
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $2.2K——Broncos $6.8K
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Patriots $4.1K——Patriots $1.3K