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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| NotJump | RN1 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 32% (2519–5260, n=7779) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) | 50% (10–10, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $424K | $13.4M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #963 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (6 of 14 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −31 pts, n=51 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 4267 at avg 45¢, ROI −9% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 4% of 1603) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 20% of 790) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 43% of 856) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 86% of 1018) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NotJump | RN1 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $150 | No $7.7K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Michal Krajci vs Niels Visker opposite sides · consensus Michal Krajci | Niels Visker $296 | Michal Krajci $270 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata | Rinky Hijikata $6.0K | Rinky Hijikata $34K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm same side · consensus Lucas Poullain | Yannik Kelm $220 | Yannik Kelm $3 | — |