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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
PetuniaPettigrewbeachboy4sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$18K$5.8M$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #783was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position89% (143 of 160 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 62¢, ROI +27%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0%3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 0% of 1)29% (won 56% of 62)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢57% (won 100% of 4)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 86% of 29)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketPetuniaPettigrewbeachboy4sainttroplayBreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $127——No $250K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.6K——Yes $170K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.9K——Yes $34K