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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Pwaddler | 00gringo00 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (433–428, n=861) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.2K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #122 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (7 of 11 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=161 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 680 at avg 51¢, ROI +18% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 38% of 29) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 63% of 144) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 71% (won 68% of 485) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 86% of 22) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Pwaddler | 00gringo00 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $51K | — | Over $664 | — |