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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)52% (389–353, n=742)62% (395–247, n=642)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13853–15337, n=29190)
Consensus PnL$10K$4.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #938PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)100% (1 of 1 open)89% (141 of 159 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +46 pts n=62, ROI +45%
  • Esports +31 pts n=197, ROI +29%
  • NBA +29 pts n=150, ROI +30%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 429 at avg 56¢, ROI +31%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 52% of 31)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 78% of 79)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 93% of 250)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 69)2% (won 100% of 7)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.