Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
QWUERHAIUKSJNFSNCFsainttroplay0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeeaRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (389–353, n=742)71% (10–4, n=14)41% (1101–1610, n=2711)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)
Consensus PnL$10K$4.4M$2.9M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #938was PM monthly #11PM monthly #410PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (10 of 13 open)no open consensus position57% (33 of 58 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +46 pts n=62, ROI +45%
  • Esports +31 pts n=197, ROI +29%
  • NBA +29 pts n=150, ROI +30%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 429 at avg 56¢, ROI +31%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%—94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 52% of 31)0%—10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 78% of 79)50% (won 100% of 5)—22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 93% of 250)50% (won 100% of 5)—36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 69)0%—32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketQWUERHAIUKSJNFSNCFsainttroplay0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeeaRN1
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $680—Yes $19—
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $177—Yes $250—