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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RLWGBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)49% (5956–6323, n=12279)45% (542–652, n=1194)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$17K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #645PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)89% (141 of 159 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 773 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 50% of 46)10% (won 82% of 56)0%5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 92% of 193)36% (won 98% of 198)0%42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 98% of 479)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 55)19% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.