← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (15 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (11 of 22 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K | — |