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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| RN1 | sainttroplay | Venusian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (14288–15920, n=30208) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 54% (682–570, n=1252) |
| Consensus PnL | $14.8M | $4.4M | $22K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #322 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (32 of 62 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (58 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 16% (won 100% of 65) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 23% (won 100% of 96) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% | 55% (won 100% of 230) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | sainttroplay | Venusian |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Lucas Poullain opposite sides · consensus Jerome Kym | Lucas Poullain $545 | — | Jerome Kym $11K |
| Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Manchester United FC | Manchester United FC $2.3K | — | AS Roma $3 |
| Chennai Open: Rada Zolotareva vs Lucrezia Stefanini opposite sides · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini | Rada Zolotareva $1.8K | — | Lucrezia Stefanini $353 |
| Chennai Open: Jodie Burrage vs Vaishnavi Adkar opposite sides · consensus Vaishnavi Adkar | Jodie Burrage $163 | — | Vaishnavi Adkar $1.6K |
| Beijing Guoan leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | — | No $9 |
| Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.1K | — | Under $132 |
| Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkova same side · consensus Moyuka Uchijima | Rebecca Sramkova $4.7K | — | Rebecca Sramkova $371 |