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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | Venusian | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 54% (715–608, n=1323) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $14.8M | $4.4M | $22K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 + pinned | — | PM monthly #405 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (42 of 65 open) | 58% (56 of 97 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (50 of 84 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 16% (won 100% of 65) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 23% (won 100% of 96) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% | 55% (won 100% of 230) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | Venusian |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $26K | — | Under $117 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $20K | — | Yes $34 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $5.1K | — | Yes $3 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.0K | — | Under $377 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.9K | — | Under $35 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | Yes $48 |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $962 | — | No $314 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $846 | — | Yes $29 |
| Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $409 | — | No $432 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $431 | — | Yes $20 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $372 | — | Over $7 |
| Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $30 | — | Over $247 |
| Will Wigan Athletic FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $156 | — | Yes $5 |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $47 | — | Over $5 |
| Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $46 | — | Under $3 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $7 | — | Yes $3 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.7K | — | No $5 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Bayern München? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | — | No $483 |
| Taipei: Charles Broom vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Charles Broom | — | Charles Broom $769 | — | Charles Broom $532 |
| West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $793 | — | Under $87 |
| Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $365 | — | No $114 |
| Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $218 | — | No $224 |
| Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $431 | — | Over $4 |
| Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $164 | — | No $170 |
| Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-10-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $225 | — | No $12 |
| Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5) same side · consensus IK Sirius | — | Halmstads BK $199 | — | Halmstads BK $34 |
| Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $19 | — | No $200 |
| Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK? same side · consensus No | — | No $130 | — | No $62 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $42 | — | Under $100 |
| Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $92 | — | No $7 |
| Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $2 | — | No $50 |
| Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $46 | — | No $6 |
| Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $10 | — | Under $37 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $10 | — | Under $28 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1 | — | Over $23 |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $10 | — | Over $10 |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4 | — | Yes $3 |