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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
ndb1RN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)63% (990–573, n=1563)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)50% (1011–1012, n=2023)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$14.8M$28
Tracked asPM monthly #105PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #631
Sides with the consensus74% (81 of 110 open)58% (94 of 162 open)44% (101 of 227 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 618 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)6% (won 100% of 38)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)19% (won 100% of 118)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)59% (won 100% of 362)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1RN1Venusian
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $19KNo $53
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
—Dalibor Svrcina $1.8KGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard $9.8K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KNo $32
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $9.7KUnder $252
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Max Hans Rehberg $4.3KDaniel Milavsky $2.2K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KUnder $658
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7KUnder $731
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $3.0KAC Milan $97
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.0KOver $8
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.9KOver $6
Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Qairat FK
—Qairat FK $2.7KAtalanta BC $10
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Sparta Praha
—AC Sparta Praha $726AFC Bournemouth $1.9K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $40
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $66No $1.2K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $946Under $160
Will Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $505Yes $249
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $585Yes $61
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $592Over $20
Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $225AC Milan $153
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $279Under $33
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $80Yes $198
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $245Over $26
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $184No $51
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $125No $62
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aarhus GF
—Aarhus GF $126SC Braga $13
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $128Over $6
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $20No $103
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $66Over $14
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Inter Club d'Escaldes
—FK Crvena zvezda $65Inter Club d'Escaldes $8
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5Yes $46
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2Under $41
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $7Under $32
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $24Over $11
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10No $19
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4No $16
Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $16No $3
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
—AS Omónoia Leukosías $3NEC $15
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $13Under $3
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5No $9
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $20K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.3KNo $1.5K
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.1KNo $417
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.9KUnder $3.5K
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $935No $4.8K
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $163No $3.4K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2KNo $537
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.7KNo $64
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $334No $2.0K
FK Crvena zvezda leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1KNo $76
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.9KOver $13