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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RayayaBreakTheBankCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)61% (1148–747, n=1895)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL-$57K$10.6M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #888PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus100% (5 of 5 open)73% (73 of 100 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −1 pts, n=1833———
Settled positions, side won61% of 1838 at avg 62¢, ROI −2%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 12% of 59)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 38% of 245)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 61% of 984)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 76% of 550)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRayayaBreakTheBankCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $1.8K—B8 $22K—
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS
DENDELE CS $1.7K—Imperial $7.9K—