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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RayayaCORGII00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)61% (1148–747, n=1895)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL-$57K$4.5M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #888PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (5 of 5 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position46% (6 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicEsports −1 pts, n=1840———
Settled positions, side won61% of 1845 at avg 62¢, ROI −2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 12% of 59)9% (won 92% of 36)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 38% of 247)56% (won 99% of 223)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 61% of 989)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 76% of 550)2% (won 100% of 7)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRayayaCORGII00gringo00primm
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $1.8KB8 $22K——
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS
DENDELE CS $1.7KImperial $7.9K——