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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Record (consensus markets)70% (646–271, n=917)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)47% (13849–15328, n=29177)
Consensus PnL$58K$3.5M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +10 pts n=451, ROI +10%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won73% of 451 at avg 64¢, ROI +10%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 55)0%7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 46% of 67)0%26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 74% of 96)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up52% (won 98% of 233)0%24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.