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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RollAwayTheDew00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (405–362, n=767)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$38K$3.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #738was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus56% (9 of 16 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (72 of 97 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −3 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won75% of 541 at avg 55¢, ROI +13%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 61% of 23)0%7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 68% of 181)0%26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 75% of 243)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 90% of 94)0%24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRollAwayTheDew00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
Broncos $1.4K——Chiefs $1.2K