← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SchruteBucks | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (1246–778, n=2024) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #672 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 764 at avg 72¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 93% of 27) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 97% of 94) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 99% of 184) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 100% of 459) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SchruteBucks | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei: Daniel Michalski vs August Holmgren opposite sides · consensus August Holmgren | Daniel Michalski $5 | August Holmgren $2.6K | — | — |