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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SchruteBucks | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (1243–773, n=2016) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #672 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 67% (16 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 761 at avg 71¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 93% of 27) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 97% of 94) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 99% of 183) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 100% of 457) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SchruteBucks | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl | Dylan Dietrich $437 | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Jonas Forejtek $3 | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $15 | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — |