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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SlickRick1230xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (3121–3625, n=6746)61% (495–321, n=816)68% (43–20, n=63)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)
Consensus PnL$18K-$352K$5.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #985was PM monthly #51was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)72% (13 of 18 open)100% (1 of 1 open)55% (26 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −4 pts, n=563Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won48% of 2573 at avg 45¢, ROI +4%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 14% of 704)15% (won 29% of 125)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 744)34% (won 58% of 283)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 69% of 716)43% (won 69% of 354)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 88% of 409)7% (won 80% of 60)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSlickRick1230xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816beachboy4RN1
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3——Yes $3.7K
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.6K—Under $129
Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata
same side · consensus Ryo Tabata
Ryo Tabata $7.6K——Ryo Tabata $20K
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $869——Over $1.5K
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $891——Over $184