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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Stickman22joseph00677RN1ndb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (1545–1424, n=2969)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$99K$5.6M$14.8M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #422PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)no open consensus position57% (26 of 46 open)68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicSoccer −4 pts, n=248——NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won51% of 2983 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 19% of 310)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 43% of 1113)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 59% of 1265)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 81% of 295)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketStickman22joseph00677RN1ndb1
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.3K——No $146