← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunflowaRebuildYear | sainttroplay | CORGII | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (323–75, n=398) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $4.4M | $4.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #485 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (4 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 54% (7 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 281 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 9) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 58% (won 100% of 164) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 102) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunflowaRebuildYear | sainttroplay | CORGII | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | — | Over $4 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $3.0K | — | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) same side · consensus Rams | Rams $1.3K | — | — | Rams $4 |