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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TheFOMCGambler | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (92–31, n=123) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #912 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 95% (35 of 37 open) | no open consensus position | 91% (148 of 163 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 79% of 124 at avg 82¢, ROI +16% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 6% of 16) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 50% of 2) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 33% of 3) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 83% (won 92% of 103) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheFOMCGambler | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $190 | — | No $202K | — |