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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TheImpasse | BreakTheBank | RN1 | pleaseplease123 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 21% (142–536, n=678) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) | 49% (345–353, n=698) |
| Consensus PnL | -$149K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #427 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (9 of 21 open) | 89% (146 of 164 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −11 pts, n=43 | — | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 91 at avg 34¢, ROI −15% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 13% of 61) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 67% of 9) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 38% (won 43% of 266) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 67% of 6) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 61% (won 54% of 426) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 87% of 15) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheImpasse | BreakTheBank | RN1 | pleaseplease123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $44 | Yes $172K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $426 | Yes $85K | — | — |