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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TheImpasse | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 21% (142–534, n=676) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$149K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #427 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (8 of 20 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 89% (128 of 144 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −11 pts, n=43 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 33% of 90 at avg 34¢, ROI −15% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 12% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 67% of 9) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 67% of 6) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 87% of 15) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheImpasse | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $44 | — | — | Yes $172K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $387 | — | — | Yes $85K |