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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TokennRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)51% (502–486, n=988)47% (13853–15337, n=29190)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$211K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #303PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)89% (141 of 159 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 499 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 97% of 35)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 99% of 213)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 99% of 206)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 100% of 45)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.