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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VeryLucky888 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (26867–19466, n=46333) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $417K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (37 of 60 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=1814 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 17564 at avg 54¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 22% of 1995) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 5894) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 58% of 5883) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 78% of 3792) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VeryLucky888 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $4.6K | Commanders $1.0M | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $3.1K | Commanders $32K | — | — |