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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VeryLucky888BreakTheBanksainttroplay00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)58% (26675–19314, n=45989)45% (526–640, n=1166)71% (10–4, n=14)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$417K$10.6M$4.4M$3.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus63% (92 of 146 open)74% (72 of 97 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNBA −3 pts, n=1814———
Settled positions, side won53% of 17564 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 22% of 1995)10% (won 85% of 53)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 43% of 5894)36% (won 98% of 192)50% (won 100% of 5)0%
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 5883)35% (won 99% of 187)50% (won 100% of 5)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 78% of 3792)20% (won 100% of 107)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVeryLucky888BreakTheBanksainttroplay00gringo00
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $4.3KChiefs $152K——
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $11KCommanders $230K——
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Commanders $6.9KCommanders $43K——
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $3.4KCommanders $29K——