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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Vetchbeachboy4CORGII
Record (consensus markets)63% (299–178, n=477)68% (43–20, n=63)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$333K$5.8M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #688was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +17 pts n=149, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +12 pts n=68, ROI +33%
  • NHL +8 pts n=31, ROI +16%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNFL −6 pts, n=19NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won68% of 444 at avg 60¢, ROI +18%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 27% of 55)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 56% of 98)29% (won 56% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 69% of 132)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 89% of 159)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVetchbeachboy4CORGII
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $2.9K—B8 $20K
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Legacy
Legacy $1.1K—TheMongolz $2.2K
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
same side · consensus Aurora Gaming
Liquid $101—Liquid $11K