← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Vilgefortz | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (191–58, n=249) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $367K | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #782 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (15 of 16 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=63 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 316 at avg 78¢, ROI +4% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 14% of 44) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 44% of 16) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 63% of 19) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 75% (won 94% of 237) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Vilgefortz | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.9K | Yes $68 | — |