← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Vilgefortz | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (191–58, n=249) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $366K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #782 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (14 of 15 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (143 of 159 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=63 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 316 at avg 78¢, ROI +4% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 14% of 44) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 44% of 16) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 63% of 19) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 75% (won 94% of 237) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Vilgefortz | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.4K | — | — | No $117K |