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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Vilgefortz | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (191–58, n=249) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $367K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #782 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (16 of 16 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 89% (146 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=63 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 316 at avg 78¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 14% of 44) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 44% of 16) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 63% of 19) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 75% (won 94% of 237) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Vilgefortz | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | — | No $114K |