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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| WarewaPain | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (459–646, n=1105) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$122K | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #654 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −5 pts, n=32 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 655 at avg 57¢, ROI +13% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 21% of 117) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 58% of 120) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 72% of 195) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 90% of 223) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | WarewaPain | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.3K | No $184K |