← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| WarewaPain | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (460–651, n=1111) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | -$123K | $4.4M | $5.8M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #654 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −5 pts, n=32 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 655 at avg 57¢, ROI +13% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 21% of 117) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 58% of 120) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 72% of 195) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 90% of 223) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | WarewaPain | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.3K | — | — | Yes $2.3K |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $101 | — | — | No $2.7K |