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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Xeny | sainttroplay | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (415–354, n=769) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $86K | $4.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (17 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −4 pts, n=27 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 975 at avg 39¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 8% of 479) | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 40% of 122) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 74% of 126) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 248) | 0% | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Xeny | sainttroplay | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.9K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | — | — | No $34K |